Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.319409 0.372014 0.430706 0.501074 0.583203 0.676093 0.789230
2025-02-02 0.245046 0.316761 0.405574 0.523813 0.677398 0.870569 1.132685
2025-02-09 0.203739 0.282816 0.387995 0.538475 0.748906 1.033746 1.450378
2025-02-16 0.172982 0.254414 0.369193 0.543330 0.801971 1.173759 1.752156
2025-02-23 0.148097 0.228924 0.348686 0.539825 0.838913 1.291841 2.035270
2025-03-02 0.125927 0.203428 0.323465 0.523868 0.852357 1.373478 2.270839
2025-03-09 0.114679 0.192937 0.319199 0.538954 0.914974 1.537755 2.659000
2025-03-16 0.102854 0.179614 0.308191 0.540708 0.954629 1.667974 3.006237
2025-03-23 0.094325 0.170569 0.302850 0.550821 1.008985 1.828671 3.427308
2025-03-30 0.083936 0.156781 0.287357 0.540453 1.024580 1.921461 3.735264
2025-04-06 0.075764 0.145932 0.275667 0.535255 1.048451 2.031314 4.089023
2025-04-13 0.069540 0.137936 0.268196 0.536893 1.085162 2.169233 4.515647
2025-04-20 0.066704 0.136343 0.273047 0.563969 1.177150 2.429927 5.235901
2025-04-27 0.063804 0.134278 0.276761 0.589335 1.269328 2.703757 6.025984
2025-05-04 0.060288 0.130456 0.276364 0.605877 1.344724 2.951731 6.795022
2025-05-11 0.056127 0.124715 0.271212 0.611353 1.396396 3.154625 7.490905
2025-05-18 0.051630 0.117666 0.262376 0.607400 1.426084 3.311897 8.102312
2025-05-25 0.046557 0.108694 0.248220 0.589405 1.420654 3.387459 8.526753
2025-06-01 0.044489 0.106416 0.248930 0.606417 1.500926 3.675531 9.522516
2025-06-08 0.041594 0.101821 0.243707 0.608396 1.544487 3.879950 10.333757
2025-06-15 0.039538 0.099010 0.242377 0.619801 1.613184 4.155654 11.373731
2025-06-22 0.036333 0.092955 0.232455 0.608108 1.620597 4.275424 12.008058
2025-06-29 0.033741 0.088160 0.225123 0.602246 1.642714 4.436637 12.782444